BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Air Force
Class: 1A Class Rank: 61 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (10-3) Overall Strength = 139.71
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Home W 116.69 37 21 1B 84 ( 2- 9) Abilene Christian -21.24 * 37.24
2 09/10/2016 Home W 155.62 48 14 1A 116 ( 3- 9) Georgia St 17.68 16.32
3 09/24/2016 Away W * 139.35 27 20 1A 87 ( 3- 9) Utah St 1.41 5.59
4 10/01/2016 Home W 156.50 28 14 1A 46 ( 9- 5) Navy 18.56 -4.56
5 10/08/2016 Away L * 128.94 26 35 1A 74 ( 8- 6) Wyoming -9.00 0.00
6 10/15/2016 Neutral L * 128.13 40 45 1A 81 ( 9- 4) New Mexico -9.81 4.81
7 10/22/2016 Home L * 114.84 27 34 1A 108 ( 7- 7) Hawaii -23.09 16.09
8 10/28/2016 Away W * 129.95 31 21 1A 119 ( 1- 11) Fresno St -7.99 17.99
9 11/05/2016 Away W 155.32 31 12 1A 82 ( 8- 5) Army 17.39 1.61
10 11/12/2016 Home W * 140.14 49 46 1A 67 ( 7- 6) Colorado St 2.20 0.80
11 11/19/2016 Away W * 127.67 41 38 1A 110 ( 4- 8) San Jose St -10.27 13.27
12 11/25/2016 Home W * 150.85 27 20 1A 42 ( 10- 3) Boise St 12.92 -5.92
13 12/30/2016 Neutral W 149.18 45 21 1A 104 ( 6- 7) South Alabama 11.24 12.76
Averages 137.94 35.2 26.2
Best game: 156.50 = 14 point win over Navy
Worst game: 114.84 = 7 point loss to Hawaii
Team stdev: 14.69